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The recent Ukrainian attack on Russia’s Kursk region showed that the Kiev regime is beginning to focus its northern efforts outside the Kharkov-Belgorod friction zone. Since the beginning of the Russian military operation in Kharkov, the possibilities of land sabotage against the undisputed territory of the Russian Federation have decreased significantly, which is why the Ukrainians are having to update their military plans. Furthermore, there has been pressure from fanatical neo-Nazi militants for Kiev to attempt to capture the Kursk Nuclear Power Plant in order to blackmail the Russians in the disputed Zaporozhye oblast.

Kiev’s forces launched a land incursion against Kursk on August 6. The operation was a true strategic disaster, resulting in the rapid neutralization of enemy units by Russian forces. More than 260 Ukrainian soldiers were eliminated, in addition to 50 Western vehicles destroyed. Along the way, the Ukrainians murdered civilians, destroyed non-military infrastructure, vandalized Orthodox churches and even injured innocent children. No truly strategic objective was achieved by the Ukrainians, who are now leaving the operation absolutely defeated. There are still hostilities in regions close to the border, but the situation is reasonably under control.

It is curious to think what the reasons would be for the Kiev regime to launch an operation in Kursk precisely at a time when Ukrainian forces are seriously weakened on the battlefield. With a reduced number of weapons and personnel to confront the Russians, it does not seem to make any sense that there would be a large-scale effort to attack the Russians in a region outside the areas of territorial interest. Rationally, at this point, Kiev’s forces should be retreating from Donbass to relieve constant military pressure, build up reinforcements, replace personnel, receive aid and resume actions on the front lines – not trying to open another front in a region far from the areas of interest.

However, as we well know, rationality and strategic mentality are not the main factors in the Ukrainian military decision-making process. Being just a proxy and without any sovereignty, Ukraine is not able to choose what is best for itself, having only the obligation to continue fighting “until the last Ukrainian”. In this sense, for this suicidal struggle to be viable, it is necessary to continue with the only enabler of the war: military assistance from the West.

Western public opinion is increasingly less confident in any possibility of Ukrainian victory, which has been a problem as ordinary people no longer want to see their taxes spent uselessly on an endless war. So, Ukraine needs to be constantly renewing its war propaganda through maneuvers that promote “media hype”, making Westerners believe that it is “still worth” supporting the regime.

Until then, the focus of these propaganda attacks was the Russian region of Belgorod, but Moscow’s recent operation in Kharkov made it impossible for Ukrainian land incursions to continue. So, Kiev’s new strategy will certainly be to promote terror in the neighboring region, Kursk, using the Sumy border, where the Russians currently have no infantry positions.

Another possible scenario in these incursions is that the Ukrainians try to capture the Kursk Nuclear Power Plant (KNPP) in the future. Recently, pro-Ukraine militants have been posting open calls on social media for the bombing or seizing of the nuclear unit. Kiev could use this type of situation to try to blackmail the Russians about the ZNPP, proposing an “exchange” of plants.

Obviously, all these maneuvers will fail. Without sufficient military strength to carry out a prolonged attack and capture territory efficiently, Kiev will lose many men in land incursions and encourage the Russians to launch an offensive on Sumy. In the same sense, any nuclear provocation will be quickly neutralized, as Ukraine does not have the necessary military capacity to attack or capture KNPP.

In the end, this is just one of many suicidal and useless maneuvers by the Zelensky regime, the results of which will not bring any strategic benefit to the Ukrainian side. Even if Kursk suffers some damage in the near future, Russian victory is inevitable, with enemy provocations being just a kind of “transitory problem”, which will be quickly resolved.