World
Hugo Dionísio
June 24, 2025
© Photo: Public domain

If the EU has not yet realized what is at stake in Israel’s aggression against Iran, it is serious and should not reassure us.

Join us on TelegramTwitter, and VK.

Contact us: info@strategic-culture.su

If the EU has not yet realized what is at stake in Israel’s aggression against Iran, it is serious and should not reassure us. If it has realized and persists in the error, it is even more concerning. It means that the European Union is a body dominated by a spinal column—the Franco-German-British axis—which, instead of coordinating and balancing its members, alienates and disorganizes them, undoubtedly feeding off them and continuing to do so in a future where nothing will remain but the body itself.

We are all experiencing firsthand, in our skin, pockets, and stomachs, the consequences of how the revanchist, neo-fascist, and reactionary right exploits immigration to influence national and European politics and seize power.

In this context, where neo-fascist and neo-Nazi influence manifests in attacks on immigration, xenophobia against Asians, Muslims, or Africans, violence against minorities and political opponents, is the EU prepared for an uncontrolled and absolutely massive wave of migration? Amid an unparalleled energy crisis, accompanied by brutal price increases, will it be ready to receive—or be “invaded,” as they say—by millions of desperate people legitimately seeking work and better living conditions?

The civilizational gravity of the moment we live in is proven by how Trump behaved once in office. His attitude is representative of how fascism operates in its neo-fascist version, whether dressed in an Armani suit and a white condom or not. Anything goes to seize power, and once achieved, “the people,” “the workers,” are forgotten, while loyalty to the oligarchic donors of electoral funds is honored, supporting monopolies, relieving the richest of tax burdens, and increasing taxes on the poorest.

Consequently, the president elected to end the eternal wars draining the U.S. budget is, in fact, the one working hardest to bring us World War III. Nothing new here: Zelensky had already risen to power in the same way. Faced with the desperation of European peoples for better living conditions and stability, it has become too easy to manipulate their will and achieve significant electoral results.

This EU, itself undergoing a neo-fascist reconquest, formally or materially, failed to realize that the war in Ukraine, fueled by the violation of Minsk and NATO’s expansion into the country, was a war against itself. Three years later, as expected, the EU is worse off in every way: a weaker Euro, overtaken by the Yuan as the most sought-after reserve and exchange currency; a weak and anemic economy; loss of important markets; loss of essential energy resources and raw materials in quality and quantity, with no replacement in sight; loss of the Fourth Industrial Revolution train.

At least we have Kaja Kallas, content with the fact that “the Russian Federation has lost billions due to sanctions,” while “the EU is the largest contributor to the Ukrainian cause.” A meager prize: being first on the podium of those losing the most billions with Ukraine’s defeat!

As if this weren’t enough, after failing to prevent the rift with the Russian Federation, the EU was unable to foresee that the destruction of Libya, Syria, Iraq, Lebanon, and the end of the JCPOA under Trump 1.0 would trigger a massive wave of refugees and “economic” migrants. This wave is not only impossible to contain—as proven by the rafts in the Mediterranean—but also suddenly exploited by traffickers, employers hungry for cheap labor, and the revanchist and neo-fascist right, whose financiers exploit both the migrants and the disruptions caused by the sudden surge in demand for work and public services to seize power and make everything even more chaotic.

This EU, already weakened by austerity measures that had destroyed and minimized the capacity of public services, ignored the tensions this migration wave would cause among an already disillusioned native population. The process of reconstructing oligarchic power and restoring the pre-World War II social pact was underway, and nothing could stop it.

At every stage of this process, from the War on Terror—where we witnessed intrusions into private life and the establishment of mass surveillance—to the antagonization of the Russian Federation through NATO expansion and the fanaticization of non-Russian-speaking populations in ex-USSR and ex-Warsaw Pact countries, the EU never knew or wanted to protect its peoples. Not only did it allow itself to be led into a dangerous militarization process, but it also watched the resurgence of Nazism and fascism, masked as the “new right” or “anti-immigration parties.”

Interestingly, the only times these parties were somewhat opposed was due to their “Euroscepticism.” Cases accusing them of “pro-Russian” ideology ended, in some instances, with their banning, demonstrating that the true ideological line underlying the bellicose, revisionist, and fascist-leaning stance labeled as “moderate” and “democratic” is anti-Russian antagonism. Only their views on Russia, LGBTQ+, and “global warming” truly separate the “moderate forces” from the “populist” ones. The example lies in how the EU views Orban or Meloni—ostracizing one and accepting the other.

Paradoxically worsening its energy dependence, the EU continues to consume Russian gas and oil but buys it through intermediaries, avoiding direct relations. It deprives European industry of a powerful and decisive supplier of absolutely necessary mineral reserves, handing over a decades-long supplier to strategic competitors like China and the U.S. The EU persists in its self-flagellation.

The Commission, Parliament, and Council have never shown the slightest ability to anticipate events. The dozens of “acts” produced by the Von der Leyen Commission were all reactive and late, proving that the Americanized use of the word “act” to describe “law” is far from a mere formal coincidence. The truth is that the need for transatlantic approvals has turned the EU and its Franco-German-British axis into a body without a will of its own. And so ingrained is the habit that, losing the brain of Biden—which was already…—the body has become even more erratic and uncoordinated. The EU now suffers from acute Trumpitis!

The before and after Von der Leyen will not deceive, but what will truly go down in history is the acephalous nature, the inability to think and make independent decisions. The EU is like a bull enraged by years of captivity, led through prods, red flags, and staggering blows. Unable to anticipate where they come from, the EU now charges always in the same direction—against the Russian Federation.

Such is the state of mortification—the EU and its G5, now that the U.K. has de facto returned—that when confronted with another serious risk to its integrity and existence, it promptly mimics the most dangerous, adventurous, and desperate behaviors of Trump. The EU’s attitude and that of the Franco-German-British axis toward the crime being committed in Gaza was already absolutely sickening, given the inability to reconcile even the stated discourse with the actions taken. But in the case of Iran, the EU and its central axis reach a new level of nervous disconnection: this Franco-German-British spine is simply quadriplegic, incapable of independently executing even the simplest thoughts.

This is how this “delayed corpse” that is the EU can condemn one state for invading another, sanction another for allegedly wanting to invade, and defend yet another for having invaded and attacked five others. It is absolutely astonishing.

How, then, could this delayed corpse realize that Israel’s attack on Iran may be the final blow to its own existence? If the attack on Iran succeeds, achieving the results intended by Israel and sanctioned by Washington—not just by Trump—and acquiesced to by the European delayed corpse, it will destroy a millennia-old nation of over 90 million people, many of whom are highly qualified youth left unemployed, without futures. The resulting migration wave would be brutal, making the fall of Libya and Syria seem like a joke in comparison.

Is the EU prepared for another endless and even larger migration wave? Is it ready for the consequences? Is it prepared for the instability that will engulf Western Asia, and the subsequent migration? Where does the EU think it will integrate so many Muslims? So many families of men, women, and children with shattered lives? In the housing Europeans themselves lack? In the industrial jobs that cannot be created due to missing raw materials?

We could argue that the EU, grappling with a deep demographic crisis that will turn it, without adequate measures, into a land of elderly and miserable people, might be interested in importing the human GDP resulting from a structural crisis across Western Asia. Undoubtedly, these qualified youth and their families could be useful to European countries. But what will happen to member states most affected by the so-called “anti-immigration parties”? What will become of the much-touted “European cohesion”? What remedies does a lost and morally bankrupt EU have for such a social cancer? Is the EU capable of turning this crisis into an “opportunity,” as the mass crisis producers love to argue?

Even if EU member states, dominated or not by “anti-immigration” parties, receive these migrants out of necessity, the fundamental question will be where these people will work. Without cheap energy, raw materials, and critical minerals, the EU cannot build its “defense” industry, for which it has earmarked 800 billion euros. Moreover, if the attack on Iran persists, China will cut supplies of rare earths and critical minerals for weapons, as will the Russian Federation. It makes no sense to see an ally attacked by enemies, know the attack is ultimately aimed at yourself, and continue supplying essential materials for it.

Even if the EU closed itself off from international trade and pursued even more protectionist policies than it already has to contain cheaper imports, mitigate high energy prices, and promote its domestic industry, closing its market to other industrialized countries would backfire, leading to economic isolation and, consequently, backwardness. For an EU that has already lost the lead in the technological revolution, losing what remains of its commercial, financial, and cultural space would be fatal.

This is where the entire strategy jams. China holds the power to effectively punish those responsible for this conflict—namely, the U.S., the EU, and Israel. Some will say China will also suffer, and that’s true, but we could always say, “with the suffering of others…” Moreover, only 15–17% of Chinese industrial production is for export, and as seen this year, the domestic Chinese market is growing. Strategically united with the Russian Federation, China has everything it needs, while the EU lacks almost everything. Who will fall first?

Now, imagine this scenario where the EU keeps its “doors open” to immigration? “Open doors”? Yes! The recent suggestion the Commission made to Portugal regarding balancing public accounts involves importing GDP—that is, bringing in and integrating more immigrants.

Of course, given that Iran’s population is very young and qualified, an unspoken process of plundering potential human GDP may be underway. However, this process stalls on a nearly insurmountable factor: how the West abandoned industry and let finance destroy the real economy. Now, it’s easy to blame those who not only prevented this but also directed their economies precisely toward industrial and technological growth—China and Asia in general.

To think China will not react to this situation is even more criminal. China has significant interests in Iran, and it is precisely this interest that drives Trump to follow Netanyahu’s criminal adventurism. Oil and gas, a market of 90 million people, the New Silk Roads, access to Eurasia and Western Asia—the U.S. knows Iran’s fall would be a powerful blow to China, the BRICS, the BRI, and even the SCO. In this sense, China and Russia will hardly let Iran fall. And since the “color revolution” failed against the sovereign and patriotic fervor of the population, only an endless war with the potential for World War III could bring down the Iranian political regime.

Thus, the hole the EU is digging for itself is bottomless. When the shockwaves hit, let no one say the culprits are the usual suspects: the others! And among these “others,” the cannon fodder will inevitably be the immigrants, the workers. What exposes these “anti-immigration policies” of the West is their inability to attack the oligarchic and monopolistic interests promoting war, choosing instead to attack their victims—the peoples whose lives were destroyed, whose development was denied. But let no one think this denial is only for the Global South; it is now also being denied to Western workers, proving these policies affect all workers. Just ask the MAGA crowd, now abandoned by Trump.

In conclusion, only a government led by a spoiled generation, deluded by its false greatness, with an unhealthy and excessive pride and a superiority complex built in the “best” schools and universities money can buy—under the guise of false “merit“—can justify such blindness and cowardice.

If all this is known, if all this is verifiable and provable with data and facts at our disposal, if the predictability of these events is so visible it becomes undeniable, what justifies the EU bodies and the “leaders” of the Franco-German-British axis not seeing it? What justifies their failure to recognize that this is also an attack on Europe, its independence, autonomy, and freedom?

I can already hear them complaining and justifying their incompetence with the damages of the war between Israel and Iran… And you? Didn’t you see it with Ukraine? And how much you were warned then… And how badly you treated those who warned you! And now?

There is no worse treatment than not being heard!

A European body suffering from acute Trumpitis

If the EU has not yet realized what is at stake in Israel’s aggression against Iran, it is serious and should not reassure us.

Join us on TelegramTwitter, and VK.

Contact us: info@strategic-culture.su

If the EU has not yet realized what is at stake in Israel’s aggression against Iran, it is serious and should not reassure us. If it has realized and persists in the error, it is even more concerning. It means that the European Union is a body dominated by a spinal column—the Franco-German-British axis—which, instead of coordinating and balancing its members, alienates and disorganizes them, undoubtedly feeding off them and continuing to do so in a future where nothing will remain but the body itself.

We are all experiencing firsthand, in our skin, pockets, and stomachs, the consequences of how the revanchist, neo-fascist, and reactionary right exploits immigration to influence national and European politics and seize power.

In this context, where neo-fascist and neo-Nazi influence manifests in attacks on immigration, xenophobia against Asians, Muslims, or Africans, violence against minorities and political opponents, is the EU prepared for an uncontrolled and absolutely massive wave of migration? Amid an unparalleled energy crisis, accompanied by brutal price increases, will it be ready to receive—or be “invaded,” as they say—by millions of desperate people legitimately seeking work and better living conditions?

The civilizational gravity of the moment we live in is proven by how Trump behaved once in office. His attitude is representative of how fascism operates in its neo-fascist version, whether dressed in an Armani suit and a white condom or not. Anything goes to seize power, and once achieved, “the people,” “the workers,” are forgotten, while loyalty to the oligarchic donors of electoral funds is honored, supporting monopolies, relieving the richest of tax burdens, and increasing taxes on the poorest.

Consequently, the president elected to end the eternal wars draining the U.S. budget is, in fact, the one working hardest to bring us World War III. Nothing new here: Zelensky had already risen to power in the same way. Faced with the desperation of European peoples for better living conditions and stability, it has become too easy to manipulate their will and achieve significant electoral results.

This EU, itself undergoing a neo-fascist reconquest, formally or materially, failed to realize that the war in Ukraine, fueled by the violation of Minsk and NATO’s expansion into the country, was a war against itself. Three years later, as expected, the EU is worse off in every way: a weaker Euro, overtaken by the Yuan as the most sought-after reserve and exchange currency; a weak and anemic economy; loss of important markets; loss of essential energy resources and raw materials in quality and quantity, with no replacement in sight; loss of the Fourth Industrial Revolution train.

At least we have Kaja Kallas, content with the fact that “the Russian Federation has lost billions due to sanctions,” while “the EU is the largest contributor to the Ukrainian cause.” A meager prize: being first on the podium of those losing the most billions with Ukraine’s defeat!

As if this weren’t enough, after failing to prevent the rift with the Russian Federation, the EU was unable to foresee that the destruction of Libya, Syria, Iraq, Lebanon, and the end of the JCPOA under Trump 1.0 would trigger a massive wave of refugees and “economic” migrants. This wave is not only impossible to contain—as proven by the rafts in the Mediterranean—but also suddenly exploited by traffickers, employers hungry for cheap labor, and the revanchist and neo-fascist right, whose financiers exploit both the migrants and the disruptions caused by the sudden surge in demand for work and public services to seize power and make everything even more chaotic.

This EU, already weakened by austerity measures that had destroyed and minimized the capacity of public services, ignored the tensions this migration wave would cause among an already disillusioned native population. The process of reconstructing oligarchic power and restoring the pre-World War II social pact was underway, and nothing could stop it.

At every stage of this process, from the War on Terror—where we witnessed intrusions into private life and the establishment of mass surveillance—to the antagonization of the Russian Federation through NATO expansion and the fanaticization of non-Russian-speaking populations in ex-USSR and ex-Warsaw Pact countries, the EU never knew or wanted to protect its peoples. Not only did it allow itself to be led into a dangerous militarization process, but it also watched the resurgence of Nazism and fascism, masked as the “new right” or “anti-immigration parties.”

Interestingly, the only times these parties were somewhat opposed was due to their “Euroscepticism.” Cases accusing them of “pro-Russian” ideology ended, in some instances, with their banning, demonstrating that the true ideological line underlying the bellicose, revisionist, and fascist-leaning stance labeled as “moderate” and “democratic” is anti-Russian antagonism. Only their views on Russia, LGBTQ+, and “global warming” truly separate the “moderate forces” from the “populist” ones. The example lies in how the EU views Orban or Meloni—ostracizing one and accepting the other.

Paradoxically worsening its energy dependence, the EU continues to consume Russian gas and oil but buys it through intermediaries, avoiding direct relations. It deprives European industry of a powerful and decisive supplier of absolutely necessary mineral reserves, handing over a decades-long supplier to strategic competitors like China and the U.S. The EU persists in its self-flagellation.

The Commission, Parliament, and Council have never shown the slightest ability to anticipate events. The dozens of “acts” produced by the Von der Leyen Commission were all reactive and late, proving that the Americanized use of the word “act” to describe “law” is far from a mere formal coincidence. The truth is that the need for transatlantic approvals has turned the EU and its Franco-German-British axis into a body without a will of its own. And so ingrained is the habit that, losing the brain of Biden—which was already…—the body has become even more erratic and uncoordinated. The EU now suffers from acute Trumpitis!

The before and after Von der Leyen will not deceive, but what will truly go down in history is the acephalous nature, the inability to think and make independent decisions. The EU is like a bull enraged by years of captivity, led through prods, red flags, and staggering blows. Unable to anticipate where they come from, the EU now charges always in the same direction—against the Russian Federation.

Such is the state of mortification—the EU and its G5, now that the U.K. has de facto returned—that when confronted with another serious risk to its integrity and existence, it promptly mimics the most dangerous, adventurous, and desperate behaviors of Trump. The EU’s attitude and that of the Franco-German-British axis toward the crime being committed in Gaza was already absolutely sickening, given the inability to reconcile even the stated discourse with the actions taken. But in the case of Iran, the EU and its central axis reach a new level of nervous disconnection: this Franco-German-British spine is simply quadriplegic, incapable of independently executing even the simplest thoughts.

This is how this “delayed corpse” that is the EU can condemn one state for invading another, sanction another for allegedly wanting to invade, and defend yet another for having invaded and attacked five others. It is absolutely astonishing.

How, then, could this delayed corpse realize that Israel’s attack on Iran may be the final blow to its own existence? If the attack on Iran succeeds, achieving the results intended by Israel and sanctioned by Washington—not just by Trump—and acquiesced to by the European delayed corpse, it will destroy a millennia-old nation of over 90 million people, many of whom are highly qualified youth left unemployed, without futures. The resulting migration wave would be brutal, making the fall of Libya and Syria seem like a joke in comparison.

Is the EU prepared for another endless and even larger migration wave? Is it ready for the consequences? Is it prepared for the instability that will engulf Western Asia, and the subsequent migration? Where does the EU think it will integrate so many Muslims? So many families of men, women, and children with shattered lives? In the housing Europeans themselves lack? In the industrial jobs that cannot be created due to missing raw materials?

We could argue that the EU, grappling with a deep demographic crisis that will turn it, without adequate measures, into a land of elderly and miserable people, might be interested in importing the human GDP resulting from a structural crisis across Western Asia. Undoubtedly, these qualified youth and their families could be useful to European countries. But what will happen to member states most affected by the so-called “anti-immigration parties”? What will become of the much-touted “European cohesion”? What remedies does a lost and morally bankrupt EU have for such a social cancer? Is the EU capable of turning this crisis into an “opportunity,” as the mass crisis producers love to argue?

Even if EU member states, dominated or not by “anti-immigration” parties, receive these migrants out of necessity, the fundamental question will be where these people will work. Without cheap energy, raw materials, and critical minerals, the EU cannot build its “defense” industry, for which it has earmarked 800 billion euros. Moreover, if the attack on Iran persists, China will cut supplies of rare earths and critical minerals for weapons, as will the Russian Federation. It makes no sense to see an ally attacked by enemies, know the attack is ultimately aimed at yourself, and continue supplying essential materials for it.

Even if the EU closed itself off from international trade and pursued even more protectionist policies than it already has to contain cheaper imports, mitigate high energy prices, and promote its domestic industry, closing its market to other industrialized countries would backfire, leading to economic isolation and, consequently, backwardness. For an EU that has already lost the lead in the technological revolution, losing what remains of its commercial, financial, and cultural space would be fatal.

This is where the entire strategy jams. China holds the power to effectively punish those responsible for this conflict—namely, the U.S., the EU, and Israel. Some will say China will also suffer, and that’s true, but we could always say, “with the suffering of others…” Moreover, only 15–17% of Chinese industrial production is for export, and as seen this year, the domestic Chinese market is growing. Strategically united with the Russian Federation, China has everything it needs, while the EU lacks almost everything. Who will fall first?

Now, imagine this scenario where the EU keeps its “doors open” to immigration? “Open doors”? Yes! The recent suggestion the Commission made to Portugal regarding balancing public accounts involves importing GDP—that is, bringing in and integrating more immigrants.

Of course, given that Iran’s population is very young and qualified, an unspoken process of plundering potential human GDP may be underway. However, this process stalls on a nearly insurmountable factor: how the West abandoned industry and let finance destroy the real economy. Now, it’s easy to blame those who not only prevented this but also directed their economies precisely toward industrial and technological growth—China and Asia in general.

To think China will not react to this situation is even more criminal. China has significant interests in Iran, and it is precisely this interest that drives Trump to follow Netanyahu’s criminal adventurism. Oil and gas, a market of 90 million people, the New Silk Roads, access to Eurasia and Western Asia—the U.S. knows Iran’s fall would be a powerful blow to China, the BRICS, the BRI, and even the SCO. In this sense, China and Russia will hardly let Iran fall. And since the “color revolution” failed against the sovereign and patriotic fervor of the population, only an endless war with the potential for World War III could bring down the Iranian political regime.

Thus, the hole the EU is digging for itself is bottomless. When the shockwaves hit, let no one say the culprits are the usual suspects: the others! And among these “others,” the cannon fodder will inevitably be the immigrants, the workers. What exposes these “anti-immigration policies” of the West is their inability to attack the oligarchic and monopolistic interests promoting war, choosing instead to attack their victims—the peoples whose lives were destroyed, whose development was denied. But let no one think this denial is only for the Global South; it is now also being denied to Western workers, proving these policies affect all workers. Just ask the MAGA crowd, now abandoned by Trump.

In conclusion, only a government led by a spoiled generation, deluded by its false greatness, with an unhealthy and excessive pride and a superiority complex built in the “best” schools and universities money can buy—under the guise of false “merit“—can justify such blindness and cowardice.

If all this is known, if all this is verifiable and provable with data and facts at our disposal, if the predictability of these events is so visible it becomes undeniable, what justifies the EU bodies and the “leaders” of the Franco-German-British axis not seeing it? What justifies their failure to recognize that this is also an attack on Europe, its independence, autonomy, and freedom?

I can already hear them complaining and justifying their incompetence with the damages of the war between Israel and Iran… And you? Didn’t you see it with Ukraine? And how much you were warned then… And how badly you treated those who warned you! And now?

There is no worse treatment than not being heard!

If the EU has not yet realized what is at stake in Israel’s aggression against Iran, it is serious and should not reassure us.

Join us on TelegramTwitter, and VK.

Contact us: info@strategic-culture.su

If the EU has not yet realized what is at stake in Israel’s aggression against Iran, it is serious and should not reassure us. If it has realized and persists in the error, it is even more concerning. It means that the European Union is a body dominated by a spinal column—the Franco-German-British axis—which, instead of coordinating and balancing its members, alienates and disorganizes them, undoubtedly feeding off them and continuing to do so in a future where nothing will remain but the body itself.

We are all experiencing firsthand, in our skin, pockets, and stomachs, the consequences of how the revanchist, neo-fascist, and reactionary right exploits immigration to influence national and European politics and seize power.

In this context, where neo-fascist and neo-Nazi influence manifests in attacks on immigration, xenophobia against Asians, Muslims, or Africans, violence against minorities and political opponents, is the EU prepared for an uncontrolled and absolutely massive wave of migration? Amid an unparalleled energy crisis, accompanied by brutal price increases, will it be ready to receive—or be “invaded,” as they say—by millions of desperate people legitimately seeking work and better living conditions?

The civilizational gravity of the moment we live in is proven by how Trump behaved once in office. His attitude is representative of how fascism operates in its neo-fascist version, whether dressed in an Armani suit and a white condom or not. Anything goes to seize power, and once achieved, “the people,” “the workers,” are forgotten, while loyalty to the oligarchic donors of electoral funds is honored, supporting monopolies, relieving the richest of tax burdens, and increasing taxes on the poorest.

Consequently, the president elected to end the eternal wars draining the U.S. budget is, in fact, the one working hardest to bring us World War III. Nothing new here: Zelensky had already risen to power in the same way. Faced with the desperation of European peoples for better living conditions and stability, it has become too easy to manipulate their will and achieve significant electoral results.

This EU, itself undergoing a neo-fascist reconquest, formally or materially, failed to realize that the war in Ukraine, fueled by the violation of Minsk and NATO’s expansion into the country, was a war against itself. Three years later, as expected, the EU is worse off in every way: a weaker Euro, overtaken by the Yuan as the most sought-after reserve and exchange currency; a weak and anemic economy; loss of important markets; loss of essential energy resources and raw materials in quality and quantity, with no replacement in sight; loss of the Fourth Industrial Revolution train.

At least we have Kaja Kallas, content with the fact that “the Russian Federation has lost billions due to sanctions,” while “the EU is the largest contributor to the Ukrainian cause.” A meager prize: being first on the podium of those losing the most billions with Ukraine’s defeat!

As if this weren’t enough, after failing to prevent the rift with the Russian Federation, the EU was unable to foresee that the destruction of Libya, Syria, Iraq, Lebanon, and the end of the JCPOA under Trump 1.0 would trigger a massive wave of refugees and “economic” migrants. This wave is not only impossible to contain—as proven by the rafts in the Mediterranean—but also suddenly exploited by traffickers, employers hungry for cheap labor, and the revanchist and neo-fascist right, whose financiers exploit both the migrants and the disruptions caused by the sudden surge in demand for work and public services to seize power and make everything even more chaotic.

This EU, already weakened by austerity measures that had destroyed and minimized the capacity of public services, ignored the tensions this migration wave would cause among an already disillusioned native population. The process of reconstructing oligarchic power and restoring the pre-World War II social pact was underway, and nothing could stop it.

At every stage of this process, from the War on Terror—where we witnessed intrusions into private life and the establishment of mass surveillance—to the antagonization of the Russian Federation through NATO expansion and the fanaticization of non-Russian-speaking populations in ex-USSR and ex-Warsaw Pact countries, the EU never knew or wanted to protect its peoples. Not only did it allow itself to be led into a dangerous militarization process, but it also watched the resurgence of Nazism and fascism, masked as the “new right” or “anti-immigration parties.”

Interestingly, the only times these parties were somewhat opposed was due to their “Euroscepticism.” Cases accusing them of “pro-Russian” ideology ended, in some instances, with their banning, demonstrating that the true ideological line underlying the bellicose, revisionist, and fascist-leaning stance labeled as “moderate” and “democratic” is anti-Russian antagonism. Only their views on Russia, LGBTQ+, and “global warming” truly separate the “moderate forces” from the “populist” ones. The example lies in how the EU views Orban or Meloni—ostracizing one and accepting the other.

Paradoxically worsening its energy dependence, the EU continues to consume Russian gas and oil but buys it through intermediaries, avoiding direct relations. It deprives European industry of a powerful and decisive supplier of absolutely necessary mineral reserves, handing over a decades-long supplier to strategic competitors like China and the U.S. The EU persists in its self-flagellation.

The Commission, Parliament, and Council have never shown the slightest ability to anticipate events. The dozens of “acts” produced by the Von der Leyen Commission were all reactive and late, proving that the Americanized use of the word “act” to describe “law” is far from a mere formal coincidence. The truth is that the need for transatlantic approvals has turned the EU and its Franco-German-British axis into a body without a will of its own. And so ingrained is the habit that, losing the brain of Biden—which was already…—the body has become even more erratic and uncoordinated. The EU now suffers from acute Trumpitis!

The before and after Von der Leyen will not deceive, but what will truly go down in history is the acephalous nature, the inability to think and make independent decisions. The EU is like a bull enraged by years of captivity, led through prods, red flags, and staggering blows. Unable to anticipate where they come from, the EU now charges always in the same direction—against the Russian Federation.

Such is the state of mortification—the EU and its G5, now that the U.K. has de facto returned—that when confronted with another serious risk to its integrity and existence, it promptly mimics the most dangerous, adventurous, and desperate behaviors of Trump. The EU’s attitude and that of the Franco-German-British axis toward the crime being committed in Gaza was already absolutely sickening, given the inability to reconcile even the stated discourse with the actions taken. But in the case of Iran, the EU and its central axis reach a new level of nervous disconnection: this Franco-German-British spine is simply quadriplegic, incapable of independently executing even the simplest thoughts.

This is how this “delayed corpse” that is the EU can condemn one state for invading another, sanction another for allegedly wanting to invade, and defend yet another for having invaded and attacked five others. It is absolutely astonishing.

How, then, could this delayed corpse realize that Israel’s attack on Iran may be the final blow to its own existence? If the attack on Iran succeeds, achieving the results intended by Israel and sanctioned by Washington—not just by Trump—and acquiesced to by the European delayed corpse, it will destroy a millennia-old nation of over 90 million people, many of whom are highly qualified youth left unemployed, without futures. The resulting migration wave would be brutal, making the fall of Libya and Syria seem like a joke in comparison.

Is the EU prepared for another endless and even larger migration wave? Is it ready for the consequences? Is it prepared for the instability that will engulf Western Asia, and the subsequent migration? Where does the EU think it will integrate so many Muslims? So many families of men, women, and children with shattered lives? In the housing Europeans themselves lack? In the industrial jobs that cannot be created due to missing raw materials?

We could argue that the EU, grappling with a deep demographic crisis that will turn it, without adequate measures, into a land of elderly and miserable people, might be interested in importing the human GDP resulting from a structural crisis across Western Asia. Undoubtedly, these qualified youth and their families could be useful to European countries. But what will happen to member states most affected by the so-called “anti-immigration parties”? What will become of the much-touted “European cohesion”? What remedies does a lost and morally bankrupt EU have for such a social cancer? Is the EU capable of turning this crisis into an “opportunity,” as the mass crisis producers love to argue?

Even if EU member states, dominated or not by “anti-immigration” parties, receive these migrants out of necessity, the fundamental question will be where these people will work. Without cheap energy, raw materials, and critical minerals, the EU cannot build its “defense” industry, for which it has earmarked 800 billion euros. Moreover, if the attack on Iran persists, China will cut supplies of rare earths and critical minerals for weapons, as will the Russian Federation. It makes no sense to see an ally attacked by enemies, know the attack is ultimately aimed at yourself, and continue supplying essential materials for it.

Even if the EU closed itself off from international trade and pursued even more protectionist policies than it already has to contain cheaper imports, mitigate high energy prices, and promote its domestic industry, closing its market to other industrialized countries would backfire, leading to economic isolation and, consequently, backwardness. For an EU that has already lost the lead in the technological revolution, losing what remains of its commercial, financial, and cultural space would be fatal.

This is where the entire strategy jams. China holds the power to effectively punish those responsible for this conflict—namely, the U.S., the EU, and Israel. Some will say China will also suffer, and that’s true, but we could always say, “with the suffering of others…” Moreover, only 15–17% of Chinese industrial production is for export, and as seen this year, the domestic Chinese market is growing. Strategically united with the Russian Federation, China has everything it needs, while the EU lacks almost everything. Who will fall first?

Now, imagine this scenario where the EU keeps its “doors open” to immigration? “Open doors”? Yes! The recent suggestion the Commission made to Portugal regarding balancing public accounts involves importing GDP—that is, bringing in and integrating more immigrants.

Of course, given that Iran’s population is very young and qualified, an unspoken process of plundering potential human GDP may be underway. However, this process stalls on a nearly insurmountable factor: how the West abandoned industry and let finance destroy the real economy. Now, it’s easy to blame those who not only prevented this but also directed their economies precisely toward industrial and technological growth—China and Asia in general.

To think China will not react to this situation is even more criminal. China has significant interests in Iran, and it is precisely this interest that drives Trump to follow Netanyahu’s criminal adventurism. Oil and gas, a market of 90 million people, the New Silk Roads, access to Eurasia and Western Asia—the U.S. knows Iran’s fall would be a powerful blow to China, the BRICS, the BRI, and even the SCO. In this sense, China and Russia will hardly let Iran fall. And since the “color revolution” failed against the sovereign and patriotic fervor of the population, only an endless war with the potential for World War III could bring down the Iranian political regime.

Thus, the hole the EU is digging for itself is bottomless. When the shockwaves hit, let no one say the culprits are the usual suspects: the others! And among these “others,” the cannon fodder will inevitably be the immigrants, the workers. What exposes these “anti-immigration policies” of the West is their inability to attack the oligarchic and monopolistic interests promoting war, choosing instead to attack their victims—the peoples whose lives were destroyed, whose development was denied. But let no one think this denial is only for the Global South; it is now also being denied to Western workers, proving these policies affect all workers. Just ask the MAGA crowd, now abandoned by Trump.

In conclusion, only a government led by a spoiled generation, deluded by its false greatness, with an unhealthy and excessive pride and a superiority complex built in the “best” schools and universities money can buy—under the guise of false “merit“—can justify such blindness and cowardice.

If all this is known, if all this is verifiable and provable with data and facts at our disposal, if the predictability of these events is so visible it becomes undeniable, what justifies the EU bodies and the “leaders” of the Franco-German-British axis not seeing it? What justifies their failure to recognize that this is also an attack on Europe, its independence, autonomy, and freedom?

I can already hear them complaining and justifying their incompetence with the damages of the war between Israel and Iran… And you? Didn’t you see it with Ukraine? And how much you were warned then… And how badly you treated those who warned you! And now?

There is no worse treatment than not being heard!

The views of individual contributors do not necessarily represent those of the Strategic Culture Foundation.

See also

See also

The views of individual contributors do not necessarily represent those of the Strategic Culture Foundation.