Iran has learnt so much more about its enemy and is looking at when and how a strike on Israel will take place.
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What is Trump’s next move in the Middle East? As the days become weeks since he sent bunker buster bombs to supposedly destroy three of Iran’s main underground nuclear storage sites, there is now a rather odd vacuum of joined-up thinking which is descending on Washington. Trump is hoping that the Iranians will now make pledges to no longer enrich uranium while Israel is left frustrated, confused and certainly worried that a new wave of attacks is coming from Iran in the next few weeks.
In an earlier article, I predicted that Trump made the hasty move to hit the underground bunkers as he may have received intel from Mossad that the centrifuges had already been removed and so needed to at least save face, knowing that the peace talks no longer had the advantage tipped in Trump’s direction. According to Colonel Douglas McGregor, this is precisely what happened. The Iraq War veteran and TV pundit recently claimed in a talk show with George Galloway that most of Iran’s centrifuges are still intact and that the bombing Trump did was entirely ineffective. He also believes that Iran is preparing to hit Israel in the coming days or weeks while America’s presence in the Middle East will be reduced to a few outposts at most while DC implodes on itself under the weight of its own corruption and incompetence.
Trump doesn’t have a plan B in Iran. The F-bomb that he dropped when he lost his patience with Israel is a clear indicator, if there ever was one, that he is frustrated with being bullied and conned by Netanyahu and that his only ace – that Israel cannot win by any stretch of the imagination a war with Iran without the U.S. – had to be played by saying to Bibi ‘stop now, enough is enough’. The level of frustration and anger in the Bibi camp cannot also be downplayed as many pundits might argue that the Israel lobby and the deep state has more Senators and House Representatives in its pocket than Trump has, even on a good day.
The war with Iran has not ended. Not at all. In many ways, it has barely started as now Iran knows what the U.S. and Israel are capable of. It also knows that the main victory of Israel when it struck on June 13th was corrupt intelligence officers, which is why 700 were recently rounded up and thrown in jail, where, for sure they will reveal more secrets of other Mossad work on the ground. Israel is now weakened, as a consequence and in the meantime, while Bibi licks his wounds and considers his own graft trial, Russia and China and helping Iran rebuild its infrastructure and restock it with essential materials.
And so, Iran has learnt so much more about its enemy and is looking at when and how a strike on Israel will take place – and what to expect when it does. What it is banking on is that the very best the U.S. will do if Israel wants to come back with a second bombing campaign with the formidable F-35s is refuelling support. Trump does not want the U.S. to get dragged into a war with Tehran and has played his one and only card, the B-2 bombing, which he believes has given him the kudos in the region and back home.
The remarkable thing about Trump though for those who study him is that he always shows his weakness. It’s as though he can’t help but reveal where he cannot be punched in a fist fight before things heat up.
Right now, Bibi cannot be sleeping well. Of all the players, he is the most vulnerable for when this war evolves to the next level, which is inevitable (that is unless of course you count Jordan and Saudi Arabia – two countries which are sitting ducks for Iran’s strikes). Tehran has already begun choking the Straits of Hormuz blocking the access to 50 oil tankers which can’t pass. This has largely been underreported in the U.S. as America is not affected by this stunt. Weighed up, the Israel strikes followed by Trump’s nuclear bunker attacks haven’t come anywhere close to reaching their objectives. For Israel it was regime change, for Trump it was a nuclear deal.
Yet it is Israel who will suffer the most, as the next wave of attacks, by definition, have to be harder and bigger. This has led some pundits to speculate that those behind the conspiracy theories of who masterminded the 9/11 attacks in New York in 2001 are going to have a field day once again. Israel profited hugely the first time around as the attacks were a catalyst for Muslim hatred in the West, which some might argue brought us ISIS-inspired terror attacks in Paris and London. Yet we might listen to them this time around. There has never been a poignant moment where Israel needed to create a groundswell of Muslim hatred in America and the West than now as they stand isolated against an Iran attack. There has never been a better time where a false flag attack on Americans would pay more dividends for Bibi who, in the coming weeks, may fall on his own sword as corruption charges devour him. It might have been a deft political move by Trump to demand that Bibi’s corruption charges were dropped, but has he any idea of what is coming his way? The Israelis have the means, the technology and the motivation for such an attack. It’s surely no longer a question of if, but when.
