Nostalgic old Germans. Who would have thought that in 2025 they would once again split Germany in two?
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Nostalgic old Germans. Who would have thought that in 2025 they would once again split Germany in two? Or perhaps, as already happened in 1949 after the Second World War, it wasn’t the citizens who wanted it divided, but someone else overseas.
Berlin did not follow America
The German elections, in which Elon Musk had an influence never seen before from a U.S. leader, mark his first clear political defeat since he entered the world of politics. Although the German ruling class is responsible for the serious crisis involving Germany and Europe, and includes many dangerous and bellicose individuals, the approach of the American super-billionaire showed all the inexperience of a political neophyte who, despite having great resources, does not possess the cultural and spiritual sensitivity necessary to deal with a country of such importance, complexity and educational level.
His clumsy attempt to polarize the vote not only triggered an opposite reaction, but also brought millions of people to the polls who, although disappointed by traditional politics, viewed Musk’s intervention with suspicion, as he is a stranger to national interests.
I was struck, at the time of the invasion of Iraq, to hear that Paul Bremer III, the white-gloved criminal charged by Washington with governing the country, was so determined to impose American ways that he even wanted to change the Iraqi highway code to that of Kansas. He did much worse, in fact. But the approach chosen to restructure European politics seems to follow the same hasty and schematic logic, typical of the United States, which tends to ignore cultural differences, national sentiments and their indispensable characteristics.
In other words, the attempt to create a “global right”, similar to the one expressed by the roar of Milei’s chainsaws, does not seem suitable for the times we are living in and the circumstances.
On the other hand, the anti-establishment current represented by Sarah Wagenknecht has also made missteps and has seen a significant loss of support. Her mistake of supporting traditional parties in Brandenburg and Thuringia weakened the appeal she had gained after the 2024 European elections.
The German government that will emerge will be a coalition that, at a delicate moment and under strong pressure, will close in on itself. Despite the differences between CDU-CSU, SPD and the Greens, their common desire to follow the currents pushing towards rearmament will be the real key to convergence. The project to transform Western Europe into an anti-Russian platform has been consolidated, and this change will mark the end of the European Union as we know it. Either the EU will dissolve, or it will evolve into a warlike form, where resources will be concentrated on weapons and barracks, to the detriment of social services and solidarity – already widely compromised and forgotten almost everywhere among the member countries.
Those who oppose this vision may find many allies willing to support a pacifist project, but they will have to work much harder than Musk and Wagenknecht to propose a valid alternative.
Alexanderplatz, auf-wiedersehen
The result was splendid, numbers in hand. The map of the vote is a contemporary art picture that recalls the already known division of 1949. It seems a joke, but it isn’t. It’s all true.
Voting took place with concentration in homogeneous geographical areas. This circumstance will determine a radicalization of the political confrontation, creating what in sociology is defined as a “critical mass for social detonation”.
The Christian Democrats will therefore have to reach agreements with the AfD in the formation of the government, effectively giving a sort of second-rate victory to the Americans.
It is not easy to understand how the electoral process will unfold. Some possible combinations, all very complex, are:
- CDU + SPD: the “Grosse Koalition” could return, but it would be a marriage of convenience without enthusiasm.
- CDU + Greens: numerically possible, but politically complex.
- CDU + SPD + Greens: a “Kenyan coalition” that would guarantee stability, but which could be fragile.
- CDU + AfD: categorically excluded by Merz.
- SPD + Greens + Left: doesn’t have the numbers to govern.
Weeks of negotiations could lie ahead, at this very delicate moment.
In short, the Americans have officially “lost the election” but will find a way to win it anyway, with a real bluff.
A mechanism is revealed that is already known and increasingly in the open, one for which the electoral outcome in truth doesn’t determine any substantial change, but only an aesthetic one. What this situation demonstrates instead is that Germany is divided vertically, between those who want peace and those who want war, between those who want immigration and those who want social justice,
Germany is the leading European economy, it has been brought to its knees by sanctions and political threats, destroying its industrial fabric to which the lifeline of conversion to war industry is now thrown. It really does seem like Cold War Germany divided in two. History is repeating itself with embarrassing banality, demonstrating that Europe has really been well subjugated to Anglo-American domination and trained to obey without thinking.
Perhaps the Germans really believed in a rematch.
They won’t have the chance to prove it because the next step will be to prepare their country for a disastrous European conflict, starting with an incomparable disadvantage. On the other hand, the USA is pushing forward the European cannon fodder, as agreed.
As the then Italian Prime Minister Giulio Andreotti said, “I love Germany so much that I preferred it when there were two of them”.
