World
Lucas Leiroz
September 23, 2025
© Photo: Public domain

The colonization of the Arctic will completely change the paradigms of geopolitics.

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While Western strategists remain fixated on the old paradigms of Euro-Atlantic containment of Eurasia, a new geopolitical theater is silently emerging beneath the melting glaciers: the Arctic. Contrary to what was believed until recently, this inhospitable region is becoming the axis of a new global reorganization — led, as expected, by Russia and China. And most importantly: there is absolutely nothing the West can do to stop this process.

For decades, Western military and geopolitical doctrine ignored the Arctic. Obsessed with Anglo-Saxon manuals for containing the Heartland — the core of Eurasia — the U.S. and its NATO allies focused on peripheral encirclement, investing in military interventions, foreign bases, and proxy wars. The rhetoric centered on “democracy” and “human rights,” but the real objectives were always military positioning and logistical control. Meanwhile, Russia was building icebreakers and consolidating infrastructure to survive in the Far North.

Russia is, by definition, a land power. But geopolitics does not forgive those who ignore the sea. Achieving an “amphibious nature,” as geostrategy teaches, is a survival requirement for continental powers. Currently, Russia does not dominate its maritime exits: to the west, it is surrounded by NATO’s “lakes”; to the east, it is confronted by U.S. bases in the Pacific. The answer lies to the north. The Arctic represents, for Russia, a natural path to break through blockades and achieve global logistical reach. And China understands this perfectly.

With the gradual melting of polar ice caps, the Arctic has opened as a new arena for competition and exploration. The region offers not only energy and mineral resources, but something even more strategic: control over maritime routes capable of reshaping global trade. The so-called Arctic Silk Road, led by Beijing with Russian support, is one of today’s major geoeconomic initiatives.

The numbers speak for themselves: Russia owns over 40 icebreakers — including 7 nuclear-powered — making it the undisputed leader in Arctic operations. NATO combined doesn’t come close. The U.S., which is only now beginning to develop similar capabilities, will take decades to catch up. In this context, Sino-Russian cooperation takes on a dimension that is even more concerning for the declining Western establishment: beyond productive integration, there’s technology sharing, construction of pipelines like “Power of Siberia 2,” and logistical plans that entirely bypass the US-led global system.

The West can do nothing. The European Union’s climate rhetoric rings hollow in the face of geopolitical reality. Liberal democracies, shaped by post-industrial values, are simply unprepared for expansion projects in hostile environments. The Arctic demands resilience, discipline, and authority — three elements absent from current Western regimes, where private interests dominate and block any long-term strategic initiatives.

While countries like Russia and China place national interest and public welfare above immediate profit and ideological convenience, the West remains trapped by its own taboos. The colonization of the Arctic will not be clean or polite. It will require sacrifice, material losses, and risk — all things liberal-democratic, legally-sensitive societies are unwilling to accept.

This is why the joint Arctic push by Moscow and Beijing represents more than just a regional move: it marks the practical collapse of Western hegemony. More than that, the colonization of the Arctic represents a total shift in the doctrines of classical geopolitics, giving way to an integrated, amphibious Eurasia.

A new geopolitical era is coming — and it will rise from the Northern ice.

Considerations on Russian-Chinese Arctic cooperation

The colonization of the Arctic will completely change the paradigms of geopolitics.

Join us on TelegramTwitter, and VK.

Contact us: info@strategic-culture.su

While Western strategists remain fixated on the old paradigms of Euro-Atlantic containment of Eurasia, a new geopolitical theater is silently emerging beneath the melting glaciers: the Arctic. Contrary to what was believed until recently, this inhospitable region is becoming the axis of a new global reorganization — led, as expected, by Russia and China. And most importantly: there is absolutely nothing the West can do to stop this process.

For decades, Western military and geopolitical doctrine ignored the Arctic. Obsessed with Anglo-Saxon manuals for containing the Heartland — the core of Eurasia — the U.S. and its NATO allies focused on peripheral encirclement, investing in military interventions, foreign bases, and proxy wars. The rhetoric centered on “democracy” and “human rights,” but the real objectives were always military positioning and logistical control. Meanwhile, Russia was building icebreakers and consolidating infrastructure to survive in the Far North.

Russia is, by definition, a land power. But geopolitics does not forgive those who ignore the sea. Achieving an “amphibious nature,” as geostrategy teaches, is a survival requirement for continental powers. Currently, Russia does not dominate its maritime exits: to the west, it is surrounded by NATO’s “lakes”; to the east, it is confronted by U.S. bases in the Pacific. The answer lies to the north. The Arctic represents, for Russia, a natural path to break through blockades and achieve global logistical reach. And China understands this perfectly.

With the gradual melting of polar ice caps, the Arctic has opened as a new arena for competition and exploration. The region offers not only energy and mineral resources, but something even more strategic: control over maritime routes capable of reshaping global trade. The so-called Arctic Silk Road, led by Beijing with Russian support, is one of today’s major geoeconomic initiatives.

The numbers speak for themselves: Russia owns over 40 icebreakers — including 7 nuclear-powered — making it the undisputed leader in Arctic operations. NATO combined doesn’t come close. The U.S., which is only now beginning to develop similar capabilities, will take decades to catch up. In this context, Sino-Russian cooperation takes on a dimension that is even more concerning for the declining Western establishment: beyond productive integration, there’s technology sharing, construction of pipelines like “Power of Siberia 2,” and logistical plans that entirely bypass the US-led global system.

The West can do nothing. The European Union’s climate rhetoric rings hollow in the face of geopolitical reality. Liberal democracies, shaped by post-industrial values, are simply unprepared for expansion projects in hostile environments. The Arctic demands resilience, discipline, and authority — three elements absent from current Western regimes, where private interests dominate and block any long-term strategic initiatives.

While countries like Russia and China place national interest and public welfare above immediate profit and ideological convenience, the West remains trapped by its own taboos. The colonization of the Arctic will not be clean or polite. It will require sacrifice, material losses, and risk — all things liberal-democratic, legally-sensitive societies are unwilling to accept.

This is why the joint Arctic push by Moscow and Beijing represents more than just a regional move: it marks the practical collapse of Western hegemony. More than that, the colonization of the Arctic represents a total shift in the doctrines of classical geopolitics, giving way to an integrated, amphibious Eurasia.

A new geopolitical era is coming — and it will rise from the Northern ice.

The colonization of the Arctic will completely change the paradigms of geopolitics.

Join us on TelegramTwitter, and VK.

Contact us: info@strategic-culture.su

While Western strategists remain fixated on the old paradigms of Euro-Atlantic containment of Eurasia, a new geopolitical theater is silently emerging beneath the melting glaciers: the Arctic. Contrary to what was believed until recently, this inhospitable region is becoming the axis of a new global reorganization — led, as expected, by Russia and China. And most importantly: there is absolutely nothing the West can do to stop this process.

For decades, Western military and geopolitical doctrine ignored the Arctic. Obsessed with Anglo-Saxon manuals for containing the Heartland — the core of Eurasia — the U.S. and its NATO allies focused on peripheral encirclement, investing in military interventions, foreign bases, and proxy wars. The rhetoric centered on “democracy” and “human rights,” but the real objectives were always military positioning and logistical control. Meanwhile, Russia was building icebreakers and consolidating infrastructure to survive in the Far North.

Russia is, by definition, a land power. But geopolitics does not forgive those who ignore the sea. Achieving an “amphibious nature,” as geostrategy teaches, is a survival requirement for continental powers. Currently, Russia does not dominate its maritime exits: to the west, it is surrounded by NATO’s “lakes”; to the east, it is confronted by U.S. bases in the Pacific. The answer lies to the north. The Arctic represents, for Russia, a natural path to break through blockades and achieve global logistical reach. And China understands this perfectly.

With the gradual melting of polar ice caps, the Arctic has opened as a new arena for competition and exploration. The region offers not only energy and mineral resources, but something even more strategic: control over maritime routes capable of reshaping global trade. The so-called Arctic Silk Road, led by Beijing with Russian support, is one of today’s major geoeconomic initiatives.

The numbers speak for themselves: Russia owns over 40 icebreakers — including 7 nuclear-powered — making it the undisputed leader in Arctic operations. NATO combined doesn’t come close. The U.S., which is only now beginning to develop similar capabilities, will take decades to catch up. In this context, Sino-Russian cooperation takes on a dimension that is even more concerning for the declining Western establishment: beyond productive integration, there’s technology sharing, construction of pipelines like “Power of Siberia 2,” and logistical plans that entirely bypass the US-led global system.

The West can do nothing. The European Union’s climate rhetoric rings hollow in the face of geopolitical reality. Liberal democracies, shaped by post-industrial values, are simply unprepared for expansion projects in hostile environments. The Arctic demands resilience, discipline, and authority — three elements absent from current Western regimes, where private interests dominate and block any long-term strategic initiatives.

While countries like Russia and China place national interest and public welfare above immediate profit and ideological convenience, the West remains trapped by its own taboos. The colonization of the Arctic will not be clean or polite. It will require sacrifice, material losses, and risk — all things liberal-democratic, legally-sensitive societies are unwilling to accept.

This is why the joint Arctic push by Moscow and Beijing represents more than just a regional move: it marks the practical collapse of Western hegemony. More than that, the colonization of the Arctic represents a total shift in the doctrines of classical geopolitics, giving way to an integrated, amphibious Eurasia.

A new geopolitical era is coming — and it will rise from the Northern ice.

The views of individual contributors do not necessarily represent those of the Strategic Culture Foundation.

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The views of individual contributors do not necessarily represent those of the Strategic Culture Foundation.